Yesterday went okay, landing the treble, and the double fell short despite Wolfsburg leading 3-0 at one point. Then it went 3-3, shortly after Wolfsburg retook the lead and then conceded in the last few minutes. Ah well, that’s betting!
Over 2.5 goals double
- Lyn v Egersund
- Sion v Thun
Both of these games could well see 4/5 goals easily, but we only need 3. Let’s take a look at the stats, starting with the game in Norway. Both Lyn and Egersund have seen over 2.5 goals hit 75% this season, which is very good considering they are over 20 games into the season too. Egersund can still make the play-offs whilst Lyn could still go down, so they both have something to play for. The XG stats are also looking good as both teams average over 3.5 goals a game.
Moving onto the game over in Switzerland, both teams already average 4 or more goals a game, with the hosts seeing over 2.5 goals in every game this season so far and Thun seeing it happen 80%. This game could really be a goal fest. My initial instinct is that it won’t be, but the XG suggests we could easily see 5 goals. We just need 3 and I’m sure we’ll get there.
Algorithms and AI probabilities rate these games highly, with the odds being 2.0+ on this double.
Mixed treble
- Birmingham v Wolves – Both teams to score
- Brondby v Randers – home win
- Basel v Lugano – Over 8.5 corners
Birmingham and Wolves have been involved in high-scoring games so far this season and we could see plenty today, but then again, it’s a Sunday lunchtime kick-off and a Midlands derby. I think backing both teams to score is the safer option and the stats suggest this. Birmingham have seen BTTS in 75% of games this season, whilst Wolves have seen it 100%. The XG points towards BTTS more than the overs market as well today.
Next up, we move to Denmark, where Brondby’s run of 4 wins in a row came to an end in their last match. They come up against Randers, who have been inconsistent. This will be a bit of a test today for Brondby. Their winning streak came to an end, so they need to bounce back with a win. The XG stats suggest Brondby will score today.
I actually think Brondby losing their last match puts them in a better position to back rather than if they had won 5 in a row. It’s less pressure in a way.
Our final game in this treble is Basel v Lugano… This should be an attacking match. Basel have started off well after having an off season last season, meanwhile Lugano have won all 5 of their games this season. Basel average 11 match corners whilst Lugano average 10. Basel have seen over 9.5 corners in 83% of their games, whilst Lugano have seen 9.5 in 60% of theirs. We just need over 8.5, remember.
If you’re backing these bets, please stake responsibly.
