We’ve got 2 bets here and we plan to do a bet builder or something for the Villa v Arsenal game later. Lets dig right into todays first two bets:
Mixed double
– Sirius v Malmo – Over 2.5 goals
– Ilves v HJK – Over 8.5 corners
Stats:
Starting with the Sirius v Malmo match, both sides have see over 2.5 goals happen in over 70% of their games already this season. The host average 4 goals a game whilst the opposition average over 3 goals. The xg goals for and against are all over 1.50. We’ll let the stats do the talking in this one.
Moving onto the other selection, both teams average over 10 corners a game, remember we need just 9. One team corners for averages over 4.5 whilst the other is over 5. They both concede over 5 corners a game on average and have seen over 8.5 corners in over 65% of their matches in the league. Taking all this into account, between these sides we should get 9 corners. I wouldn’t be surprised to see 11, but let’s not be greedy, we just need 9.
Screenshots from Footballbetedge.com
Mixed Treble
- Inter Turku v KuPS – Over 8.5 corners
- Djurgården v Mjällby – Over 2.5 goals
- PSV II v Ajax II – Home win
Stats:
The bet starts in Finland and our market in this one is corners. Now, the stats don’t scream we’re going to see corner after corner. but let’s take a closer look anyway. Both teams average over 9.5 corners a game. Both teams see over 9.5 corners over 50% of the time. KuPS see over 9.5 corners over 60% of the time. If you didn’t know, Inter Turku are 2nd and KuPS are 1st. So im expecting plenty of chances and corners in this one.
Next up we go to Sweden, where we are backing goals. Both sides have seen over 2.5 goals happen in 50% or more of their games this season. Xg goals stats are high which we like. Another thing I’m liking is the form, both teams have had 2 defeats and 1 win from their last 3 games. WE can also see Mjallby have lots of draws whilst Djurgarden have more wins. The host could walk away with 3-0 win, I think it’ll be a much closer affair. 2-1 or even a 2-2 draw.
It’s early days in the Eerste Divisive so we have to be careful, but the stats all point to a home win. PSV II with 100% home win so far and Ajax have lost 100% on the road. PSV have lost once this season and then responded with a win, in their most recent match they drew, can they respond with another home win? The xg stood out for me. They are expected to score over 2.0 home goals whilst Ajax are expected to concede 1.99. Odds are too low to consider over 2.5, so home win it is.
Screenshots from Footballbetedge.com
Verdict:
These are our two bets for today. Please only back if you agree with me and the stats, if you’re not confident, don’t back it, feel free to shake them up and share the bets with us on X/twitter. We’ll be posting another article later for the Aston Villa v Arsenal game. Looking at tomorrow we’ll be having another couple of bets, so make sure to come back. Please bet responsibly!